MBS Day Ahead: China Tariff News May Not Be Enough For Bonds

By Matthew Graham Posted To: MBS Commentary If bonds happened to move higher in yield by more than they did today, we’d be talking about how the announcement of a US/China tariff extension put upward pressure on rates. As it stands, we can still witness just a bit of that upward pressure, but not enough.

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Indeed, when we’re talking about any random person, that may be true. it’s a prime candidate to create a 4-day weekend (or more) for many of those players. What does this mean for markets? In other.

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In terms of 10yr yields, the range was "re-widened" with last week’s weakness, and the early 2017 ceiling (2.40-2.44, depending on the day–call it 2.42 for simplicity. as opposed to today’s 2yr.

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 · But there remains considerable suspense over the ultimate outcome of the trade conflict, which might be enough to tip the global economy into a recession. It has certainly been a whirlwind couple of months on the trade front. As April gave way to May, expectations for an accord between China and the United States were rising.

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April 4, 2018 Comments Off on MBS Day Ahead: China Tariff News May Not Be Enough For Bonds Posted To: MBS Commentary Although preliminary news was out yesterday about China potentially announcing retaliatory tariffs on the US, that announcement was officially made overnight.

With the benefit of a few more hours of overnight trading since then, things are looking up to begin the day. Or at the very least, bonds have backed away from. to tradeflows and technicals anyway..

Granted, they’re not the be all, end all of economic growth, but an inverted yield curve will eventually give way to economic cooling no matter what any pundit on TV may say (unless. big moves in.